Super Bowl 58 odds, spread, line: Chiefs vs. 49ers picks, predictions, bets by top NFL insider on 52-27 roll

The San Francisco 49ers will try to avenge their loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl four years ago when the two teams collide in Super Bowl 58 on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. In Super Bowl LIV, the Chiefs scored 21 fourth quarter points to rally from an 11-point deficit and beat the 49ers, 31-20. Nine players from that 49ers team, including Nick Bosa, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, remain on the 49ers depth chart. Meanwhile, nine players from the Chiefs’ Super Bowl team four years ago are back on the roster for the Big Game.

The Super Bowl start time is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. San Francisco is a 2-point favorite in the latest 49ers vs. Chiefs odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. Before you make any Chiefs vs. 49ers picks or Super Bowl predictions of your own, you need to see what proven NFL expert Jason La Canfora has to say, considering he’s entering the 2024 Super Bowl on a red-hot streak.

An NFL insider, La Canfora has covered the league for more than two decades for CBS Sports, The Washington Post and the NFL Network, among other outlets, and this season he became a regular contributor to SportsLine. He enters Super Bowl LVIII on a red-hot roll. La Canfora is 52-27 (+2202) on his last 79 NFL picks.

Now, La Canfora has locked in on 49ers vs. Chiefs from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. 49ers: 

  • 49ers vs. Chiefs spread: San Francisco -2
  • 49ers vs. Chiefs over/under: 47.5 points
  • 49ers vs. Chiefs money line: San Francisco -128, Kansas City +108
  • SF: RB Christian McCaffrey led the league in rushing (1,459 yards)
  • KC: Chiefs ranked second in total defense (289.8 yards per game)
  • 49ers vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine 
  • 49ers vs. Chiefs live stream: Paramount+ (try for free)

Why the 49ers can cover

San Francisco has an elite pass-catching tight end in George Kittle. The 30-year-old Kittle led all tight ends in receiving yards (1,020) and yards per reception (15.7) during the regular season. He is just the third player in 49ers history with three 1,000-yard receiving seasons, joining Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens. For his efforts this year, Kittle was named a first-team All-Pro for the second time.

With Kittle, Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy, San Francisco has excelled in the red zone this season. The 49ers scored touchdowns on 67.2% of their drives in the red zone during the regular season, which led the league. By contrast, the Chiefs scored on just 54.1%, which ranked 17th in the NFL. See which team to back here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Two-time Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes has done an excellent job of protecting the ball in the postseason recently. Mahomes has attempted 203 consecutive passes in the playoffs without throwing an interception and has not thrown a pick since the AFC Championship Game two years ago. If Mahomes attempts 35 more passes without an interception, he would break the NFL record for consecutive passes without a pick in the playoffs, currently held by Tom Brady (237).

In addition, Kansas City has the edge over San Francisco in three key metrics: third down defense, red zone defense and special teams DVOA. The Chiefs rank fifth in third-down defense, eighth in red zone defense and sixth in special teams. By contrast, the 49ers are 27th in third-down defense, 14th in red zone defense and 25th in special teams. See which team to pick here.

How to make 49ers vs. Chiefs picks

La Canfora has analyzed Chiefs vs. 49ers and while we can tell you he’s leaning Over the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Super Bowl 58, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. 49ers spread hits hard, all from the expert who is 52-27 on his last 79 NFL picks, and find out.

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