NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 3, 2023: Model backing Chiefs, Dolphins

The Cincinnati Bengals are still searching for their first win of the season after narrowly losing to the Baltimore Ravens last week. The Bengals will try to get off the mark against Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football. According to the latest Week 3 NFL odds, Cincinnati is a two-point favorite at home. The Bengals have had plenty of success at home, winning seven of their last eight games at Paul Brown Stadium. However, Cincinnati has lost six straight games against opponents from the NFC West, making this one of the most difficult Week 3 NFL spreads to decipher. All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 164-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 18-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 3 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 3 NFL picks is that the Chiefs (-12.5) cover against the Bears in almost 60% of simulations. The Bears suffered a 27-17 defeat against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, marking their 10th consecutive loss dating back to last season. Bears quarterback Justin Fields completed just 16 of 29 passes for 211 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. He added a rushing touchdown, but the offense failed to find any rhythm against Tampa Bay.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs recorded their first win of the season, a 17-9 victory on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 305 yards and two touchdowns, while the defense wreaked havoc. Chris Jones and George Karlaftis both recorded 1.5 sacks and lead a unit that’s giving up just 15 points per game this season, the third-best mark in the NFL. SportsLine’s model projects Kansas City’s defense will limit Chicago’s offense to 19 points on Sunday, helping the Chiefs cover the spread in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 3 NFL predictions: The Dolphins (-6.5) cover the spread at home versus the Broncos. Miami features the most explosive offense in the NFL, averaging 462.5 yards per game. The Dolphins are averaging 355.0 passing yards per game, which also ranks first in the league.

Miami’s rushing attack also proved to be effective in the 24-17 win over the Patriots last Sunday. Running back Raheem Mostert recorded 18 carries for 121 yards and two scores against the Patriots. Miami’s ground game will now look to dissect a Broncos defense that gave up over 120 rushing yards and two rushing scores to the Commanders last week. According to the model, the Dolphins will rack up more than 80 yards on the ground, while Tua Tagovailoa throws for 298 yards, helping Miami cover the spread well over 50% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 3 NFL picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 NFL schedule, and it’s identified two must-see underdogs who pull off huge upsets. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which two underdogs stun the league? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Week 3 NFL odds, lines, spreads

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Sunday, Sept. 24

Colts at Ravens (-7.5, 45)

Titans at Browns (-3.5, 39.5)

Falcons at Lions (-3, 46)

Saints at Packers (-2, 42.5)

Texans at Jaguars (-9, 44)

Broncos at Dolphins (-6.5, 48.5)

Chargers at Vikings (-1, 54)

Patriots at Jets (+2.5, 36.5)

Bills at Commanders (+6.5, 43.5)

Panthers at Seahawks (-6, 42)

Cowboys at Cardinals (+12, 43)

Bears at Chiefs (-12.5, 47)

Steelers at Raiders (-2.5, 43)

Monday, Sept. 25

Eagles at Buccaneers (+5, 46)  

Rams at Bengals (-2.5, 43.5)

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