After dominant seasons by Max Verstappen and Red Bull Racing, the 2024 F1 standings are more tightly bunched and the Formula 1 season will resume this weekend with one of its grandest spectacles. The 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix will take place on Saturday on The Strip beginning at 10 p.m. local time (1 a.m. ET) to take advantage of the dazzling lights. Verstappen won the first ever Las Vegas Grand Prix, besting Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc in second and teammate Sergio Perez in third by just over two seconds.
However, this has been a far more challenging season for Verstappen and he’s the fourth-favorite at +550 in the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix odds, trailing Carlos Sainz (+230), Charles Leclerc (+270) and George Russell (+250). Lando Norris (+950) rounds out the top five in this week’s F1 odds. Before analyzing the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Las Vegas GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It’s had a strong history of betting success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc’s wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.
The model followed that up by calling Verstappen’s win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also called all 19 of Verstappen’s wins during the 2023 season and nailed each of his first seven wins in 2024 while also nailing Norris as a +200 winner in the Netherlands and then again as a +190 winner in Singapore.
It also called Alex Albon to finish in a points position for a plus-money payout in Azerbaijan, nailed a double podium for McLaren for a plus-money payout in Singapore, and called Verstappen to hit the podium for +175 in Brazil. Anyone who followed the model’s lead on those plays at sportsbooks and sports betting apps has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix predictions
One surprise: The model is predicting a points finish for Esteban Ocon that would pay out +100. The 28-year-old French driver is coming off his fourth career podium finish, earning a second-place finish in Brazil three weeks ago before the break with his Alpine teammate Pierre Gasly coming in third for a double podium.
The performance vaulted Alpine from eighth in the constructors’ standings to sixth and Ocon jumped from 19th in the drivers’ standings to 14th. Ocon was a winner in Hungary in 2021 and he now has five points finishes (top 10) on the season. At the 2023 Las Vegas Grand Prix, he finished a season-high fourth. See more 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix picks right here.
How to make 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix picks
The model has also revealed its win prediction and then is targeting a driver going off with double-digit odds to make a surprising surge up the 2024 Las Vegas GP leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model’s F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.
So who wins the Las Vegas Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges towards the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen’s wins last season and his first seven wins in 2024, and find out.
2024 Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders
See F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.
Carlos Sainz +230
George Russell +250
Charles Leclerc +270
Max Verstappen +550
Lando Norris +950
Oscar Piastri +2000
Lewis Hamilton +2200
Pierre Gasly +5000
Yuki Tsunoda +30000
Sergio Perez +30000
Nico Hulkenberg +40000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Kevin Magnussen +100000
Fernando Alonso +150000
Alexander Albon +200000
Liam Lawson +200000
Guanyu Zhou +250000
Lance Stroll +250000
Franco Colapinto +250000
Valtteri Bottas +300000
