Fantasy Football Rankings 2023: Breakouts from analytical NFL model that nailed Dameon Pierce's huge year

Last year saw former Alabama teammates Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith break out as sophomores, so one would naturally look at the the 2022 draft class to help identifying Fantasy football breakouts 2023. First rounders like Treylon Burks and Jahan Dotson showed glimpses, but there may be a higher ceiling for them to reach. Should your 2023 Fantasy football strategy focus on those two receiver or are second rounders like George Pickens and Skyy Moore worth more of a look in the 2023 Fantasy football rankings? Pickens led all rookies in average depth of target (14.5) which indicates his big-play potential. No longer fighting with Chase Claypool for targets, is Pickens worth his seventh-round 2023 Fantasy football ADP or should you draft him earlier?

Before crafting your 2023 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2023 Fantasy football rankings and 2023 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Texans running back Dameon Pierce would carry significantly more value than expected during his rookie season. The result: Pierce went on to rush for 939 yards and four touchdowns despite missing four games and also had 165 receiving yards and a score. The model predicted Pierce would provide RB2 value and he did exactly that prior to the injury that cost him the final four games of the year.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, calling Tony Pollard a sleeper last year and also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, along with players like Julio Jones and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2023, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2023 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2023 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Texans running back Dameon Pierce. As a fourth-round rookie, Pierce produced 1,104 scrimmage yards and four scores before missing the last four games of the season. He went viral due to his ability to shed would-be tacklers, as only Jonathan Taylor broke tackles at a higher rate among running backs than Pierce.

Pierce did most of his damage as a two-down back, as he had just 18 total rushing yards on third downs a year ago. Coaches have raved about his improvement as a pass-blocker during camp, which should open up more third down opportunities and thus more rushing and receiving chances. After finishing as the RB29 last year, Pierce is among the top 12 in the model’s 2023 Fantasy football RB rankings and ahead of fellow sophomore back Kenneth Walker III.

Another breakout that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2023 have identified: Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid. Buffalo already has a Pro Bowl tight end in Dawson Knox, but the team traded up to grab Kincaid in the first round of this year’s draft. That shows how highly the Bills think of Kincaid, and both tight ends started in Buffalo’s preseason opener as the Bills went with a two-tight end set.

Kincaid is more of a receiver than Knox. In fact, he led the FCS in yards per reception in 2019 and led all FBS tight ends in receiving yards in 2022. He’s also earned Josh Allen’s trust throughout training camp with his ability to make difficult catches. Knox and Gabe Davis have been inconsistent as secondary options behind Stefon Diggs, so Kincaid has a shot at being the team’s No. 2 pass-catcher. His Fantasy football ADP places him outside the top 10 tight ends, but the model slots Kincaid as the TE8 in its 2023 Fantasy football TE rankings. See which other Fantasy football breakouts 2023 to pick here.

How to find proven 2023 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising running back you aren’t even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2023 Fantasy football drafts. This running back is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of superstars like Jonathan Taylor and Joe Mixon. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2023 Fantasy Football breakouts should you target? And which RB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2023 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Dameon Pierce’s breakout season, and find out.

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