Aston Villa vs. Manchester United prediction, odds, time: 2024 Premier League picks, Feb. 11 expert bets

Aston Villa look to get back to winning ways on their home turf on Sunday when they host Manchester United in an English Premier League match at Villa Park. Aston Villa (14-4-5) have lost two of their past three in all competitions, including a 3-1 home loss to Chelsea in an FA Cup match on Wednesday. Manchester United (12-2-9) have four victories and a draw from their last five matches overall and need points to close in on a top-four spot. They sit sixth in the EPL table, eight points behind Aston Villa.

Kickoff is set for Sunday at 11:30 a.m. ET in Birmingham, England. The latest Aston Villa vs. Manchester United odds list the Villans as +105 favorites (risk $100 to win $105), with United +215 underdogs and a draw priced at +280. The over/under for total match goals is 3.5. Before you make your Manchester United vs. Aston Villa picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine’s soccer expert Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. In 2023, Green was profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.05 units), FA Cup (+3.07), EFL Cup (+4.47) and Euro 2024 qualifiers (+6.30), among others. He has started 2024 on an 8-2 run on Premier League picks, bringing a profit of $447 to $100 bettors.

Now, Green has broken down Aston Villa vs. Manchester United from every angle and just revealed his picks and Premier League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green’s picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Manchester United vs. Aston Villa:

  • Aston Villa vs. Manchester United spread: Villa -0.5 (+105)
  • Aston Villa vs. Manchester United over/under: 3.5 goals
  • Villa vs. Man U money line: Villa +105, United +215, Draw +280
  • AVL: Have posted four clean sheets in their past six overall matches.
  • MNU: Have scored at least twice in five straight in all competitions.
  • Aston Villa vs. Manchester United picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Aston Villa

The Villans had won 15 straight EPL matches at Villa Park, yielding seven goals over that span, before losing their past two. They have scored 30 goals in their 11 matches in Birmingham, while Manchester United have scored 31 in their 23 league games and have just 13 in 11 road games. Villa have 49 goals overall, tied for third-most in the Premier League. They are plus-19 in home goal differential but even in away games. Aston Villa won the last home meeting between the teams 3-1.   

Manchester United’s top scorer has six goals, while the Villains have five players with at least that many. Ollie Watkins leads the team with 11 and also has 10 assists, most in the Premier League. Leon Bailey has scored seven times, and John McGinn and Douglas Luiz both have six goals. That trio also has combined for 12 assists. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Manchester United

The Red Devils have gotten several key players back in recent weeks and have plenty of talent in attack to score more goals. Casemiro, a key to United’s game plan on both ends, is back at full strength, and Luke Shaw also has returned to the back line. Alejandro Garnacho, 19, is emerging as a dangerous scorer, and Rasmus Hojland has goals in four straight matches in all competitions. United have won three straight matches against Villa, though all came at home.

The last meeting was a 3-2 Red Devils victory, as Garnacho scored twice and Hojlund had the other goal. That was also the case in United’s most recent match, with Hojlund scoring and Garnacho adding a brace in a 3-0 victory against West Ham last Sunday. Scott McTominay has a team-high six league goals, and Marcus Rashford (five) and Bruno Fernandes (three goals, five assists) can trouble defenses. Man U haven’t lost in February since 2018, going 15-9-0. See which team to pick here.

How to make Aston Villa vs. Manchester United picks

Green has broken down Sunday’s EPL match from every angle and is leaning Over 3.5 Goals (+125). He has locked in two more confident best bets, including a plus-money play, and has a full breakdown of this Premier League clash. He’s sharing his Premier League picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Villa vs. United on Sunday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Manchester United vs. Aston Villa have all the value, all from the soccer expert who is profitable across multiple leagues, and find out.

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